INVEST 95L off FL

[J Kinkaid]

I don't expect this one to do much but the navy has just put it up on there site .

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn/tc_pages/thumbs/ATL/95L.INVEST/pacific/southern_hemisphere/vis/geo/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20070629.1345.goes12.x.vis1km_high.95LINVEST.20kts-1015mb-263N-807W.100pc.jpg


0945 AM EDT FRI 29 JUN 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-037 AMENDMENT

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
NEAR 29.0N 79.0W AT 01/1800Z.....ADDED

[B Ozanne]

I don't expect this one to do much ...

Almost every tropical cyclone begins with someone saying that. Often times its really smart forecast at the NHC.

[cdcollura]

This one might develop and move to the NE.

Right now its just a tropical wave with very weak LLC over SW FL.

[Jim Leonard]

This system should remain in a sheared enviroment for the next several days so I wouldn't look for any TC formation.
One thing I find interesting is the 200mb flow pattern is becoming more favorable in the deep tropical atlantic in the coming week. By next week most of the flow south of latitude 20N across the tropics will out of the east. This not saying we will see any tropical storms real soon but the upper flow is a lot more favorable for the first time this year.

[J Kinkaid]

models

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_95.gif

[HAltschule]

Indeed the best track of this broad surface low looks to be to the east-northeast or northeast. But IMO it is very unorganized and remains a very broad are of low pressure. No clear cut center of circulation and while it is close to land, it should not be much of anything. I am not expecting anything significant to devlop with this "area" and just think numerous rw's/trw's will be the main deal over the next couple of days.