Thread: CHASE CASE #2
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Old 12-05-2009, 12:44 PM   #171
Matt Gingery
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19Z UPDATE


LIMITED ON SATELLITE DATA ANY REGION NOT LISTED VIEW ON CONUS

VISIBLE SATELLITE

CONUS: http://i46.tinypic.com/345j4ty.jpg

MIDWEST: http://i49.tinypic.com/2gvv4m0.jpg

N PLAINS: http://i49.tinypic.com/w885tg.jpg

RADAR COMPOSITE

MIDWEST: http://i45.tinypic.com/2s6vue0.gif

N PLAINS: http://i46.tinypic.com/ele8ls.gif

S PLAINS: http://i48.tinypic.com/24erifm.gif

SURFACE PLOTS

CENTRAL ROCKIES: http://i47.tinypic.com/2cd74o6.gif

MIDWEST: http://i48.tinypic.com/5wbmab.gif

N PLAINS: http://i49.tinypic.com/20k52yx.gif

S PLAINS: http://i48.tinypic.com/kajm0p.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION


SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION FOR ERN NM / TX AND OK PANHANDLES / KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

WW MAY BE REQUIRED FROM E CNTRL NM NNEWD INTO PORTIONS OF THE TX/
OK PANHANDLES AND SWRN KS.

VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD FIELD OVER WRN TX INTO
THE TX PANHANDLE HAS BEEN CLEARING FROM THE WEST WITH CUMULUS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRY LINE...WHICH EXTENDS FROM 25 NW CVS TO
NEAR DHT TO 35 NW LBL. AIR MASS ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRY LINE IS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH 100 MB MLCAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 1500-
2000 J/KG. PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE EXPECTED ALONG THE DRY
LINE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING SHOULD ALLOW
FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. DESPITE MID-
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING EVIDENT ON WV IMAGERY OVER THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS...50 KT SWLY 500 MB FLOW FROM CENTRAL NM INTO WRN OK
COMBINED WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY EXPECTED OVER THE AREA OF
CONCERN WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS/SUPERCELLS.

WAYFARING MAP: http://www.wayfaring.com/maps/show/60497

Last edited by Matt Gingery; 12-05-2009 at 12:59 PM.
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