Ida

Jason Harris · 11-04-2009, 09:24 AM

Just rain for Central America or straight up into the gulf? And then . . . ?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1...daynl#contents

Ida know, do you?

Jeff Masters has a blog on it:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Jef...?entrynum=1370

Rich Long · 11-04-2009, 11:59 AM

Given it's current location I doubt it's any threat to the US. Water temps have been cooling in the Gulf and in order for it to move north it will have to interact with mountainous land quite heavily which will rip it apart.

Bart_Comstock · 11-04-2009, 04:48 PM

Well this thing seems to be rappidly intensefying. Not only has it become a named storm (Tropical Storm Ida) it has been gusting up to 65mph prompting the NHC to issue a hurricane watch along the eastern coasts of Nicaragua.

Ida know about you but this storm certainly has peaked my interests as a sort of last ditch effort for anything that may effect American soil. The models hint at it surviving the mountainous trek over land and reemerging in the Caribbean as a T.D. before once again gaining strength to become a T.S as it heads for the Yucatan Channel or the Yucatan Peninsula. If it can stay a bit east and pass through the channel then I would keep an eye out on this storm. It's a shame the gulf is cooling down.

cdcollura · 11-04-2009, 05:19 PM

Good day all,

I'm NOT holding my breath ... Nicaraguans have costed me many failed chase-prospects in the past - Land-wise, that is!

If, and only if, it clears the mountains, re-emerges off Honduras, then maybe I'll be a bit more excited. That should not happen until Friday-Saturday time frame, with the storm over land all that time - Not good.

richhorodner · 11-04-2009, 08:01 PM

Tally ho> outlier or just plain liar?

cdcollura · 11-04-2009, 08:46 PM

Good day all,

Quote:

Originally Posted by richhorodner

Tally ho> outlier or just plain liar?

The models have lied to us since May ;-)

Have model ... Will fool = Wishcasters!!

Bart_Comstock · 11-04-2009, 11:44 PM

The GFDL's pants are on fire. It has the storm magically staying out at sea as it passes around the horn of Honduras and then moves north. It is also the only model to show it becoming a hurricane let alone a cat 5. The other models show it either as becoming a TS after crossing the Yucatan and then either hitting Mexico or the gulf coast or just plan fizzling out even before reemerging into the sea.

I won't even consider holding my breath until this thing is in the gulf and is gaining strength.

Jared Thompson · 11-05-2009, 07:50 AM

...IDA BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE COAST OF NICARAGUA...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IDA HAS STRENGTHENED TO A
HURRICANE.

Will be intresting to see if it does move into the gulf like the NHC forcasts.

Larry J. Kosch · 11-05-2009, 10:33 AM

I did a bit of research since it looks like IDA will be potentially making two landfalls on the storm track, projected by the National Hurricane Center.

It's currently making landfall in Nicaragua with 75 mph winds. It is forecasted to track out to sea as a TS, then nick the tip of Hondoruas as it passes into the Gulf of Mexico.

I tend to agree with the other posts that it may not upgrade back to hurricane status due to the cooler Gulf waters. The current jet stream setup for the SE US looks like the TS or whatever remains will get pushed toward Florida.

My research also indicated that Hurricane Faye holds the record for four landfalls in the state of Florida in 2008!

mrobinett · 11-05-2009, 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Larry J. Kosch

The current jet stream setup for the SE US looks like the TS or whatever remains will get pushed toward Florida.

We're keeping an eye on it here in Florida...

11-04-2009, 09:24 AM	#1
Jason Harris Member Join Date: Jan 2008 Location: Melbourne, Florida Posts: 367 Thanks: 15 Thanked 3 Times in 3 Posts	Ida Just rain for Central America or straight up into the gulf? And then . . . ? http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1...daynl#contents Ida know, do you? Jeff Masters has a blog on it: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/Jef...?entrynum=1370

11-04-2009, 11:59 AM	#2
Rich Long Member Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: OHX Posts: 59 Thanks: 0 Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts	Given it's current location I doubt it's any threat to the US. Water temps have been cooling in the Gulf and in order for it to move north it will have to interact with mountainous land quite heavily which will rip it apart. __________________ Rich kf6bka Skywarn, VOIP Hurricane Net

11-04-2009, 04:48 PM	#3
Bart_Comstock Stormtrack Staff Join Date: May 2005 Location: Bentonville, Arkansas Posts: 677 Thanks: 66 Thanked 46 Times in 19 Posts	Well this thing seems to be rappidly intensefying. Not only has it become a named storm (Tropical Storm Ida) it has been gusting up to 65mph prompting the NHC to issue a hurricane watch along the eastern coasts of Nicaragua. Ida know about you but this storm certainly has peaked my interests as a sort of last ditch effort for anything that may effect American soil. The models hint at it surviving the mountainous trek over land and reemerging in the Caribbean as a T.D. before once again gaining strength to become a T.S as it heads for the Yucatan Channel or the Yucatan Peninsula. If it can stay a bit east and pass through the channel then I would keep an eye out on this storm. It's a shame the gulf is cooling down. __________________ ☈ NEW BLOG UPDATE EVERY 2HRS FOR HURRICANE EARL CHASE! ☈ Website ☈ Videos ☈ Facebook ☈ New live chase cam coming soon ☈ Twitter ☈ HAM: KF5CHQ ☈ Email ☈ Leaving SevereStudios 9/6/10 ☈ Rescue Diver & Emergency First Responder ☈ My Jeep, The Storm Trooper ☈ Last edited by Bart_Comstock; 11-04-2009 at 05:13 PM.

11-04-2009, 05:19 PM	#4
cdcollura Member Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Sunrise, Florida Posts: 1,068 Thanks: 7 Thanked 47 Times in 24 Posts	Good day all, I'm NOT holding my breath ... Nicaraguans have costed me many failed chase-prospects in the past - Land-wise, that is! If, and only if, it clears the mountains, re-emerges off Honduras, then maybe I'll be a bit more excited. That should not happen until Friday-Saturday time frame, with the storm over land all that time - Not good. __________________ Christopher Collura - KG4PJN Sky-Chaser Storm Journalism Quote: "If it has a core, I'll punch it!"

11-04-2009, 08:01 PM	#5
richhorodner Member Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Vero Beach, Florida Posts: 415 Thanks: 2 Thanked 10 Times in 8 Posts	Tally ho> outlier or just plain liar? Last edited by richhorodner; 08-19-2010 at 09:06 PM.

11-04-2009, 11:44 PM	#7
Bart_Comstock Stormtrack Staff Join Date: May 2005 Location: Bentonville, Arkansas Posts: 677 Thanks: 66 Thanked 46 Times in 19 Posts	The GFDL's pants are on fire. It has the storm magically staying out at sea as it passes around the horn of Honduras and then moves north. It is also the only model to show it becoming a hurricane let alone a cat 5. The other models show it either as becoming a TS after crossing the Yucatan and then either hitting Mexico or the gulf coast or just plan fizzling out even before reemerging into the sea. I won't even consider holding my breath until this thing is in the gulf and is gaining strength. __________________ ☈ NEW BLOG UPDATE EVERY 2HRS FOR HURRICANE EARL CHASE! ☈ Website ☈ Videos ☈ Facebook ☈ New live chase cam coming soon ☈ Twitter ☈ HAM: KF5CHQ ☈ Email ☈ Leaving SevereStudios 9/6/10 ☈ Rescue Diver & Emergency First Responder ☈ My Jeep, The Storm Trooper ☈

11-05-2009, 07:50 AM	#8
Jared Thompson Member Join Date: Dec 2008 Location: DFW Posts: 28 Thanks: 3 Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts	...IDA BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE COAST OF NICARAGUA... SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT IDA HAS STRENGTHENED TO A HURRICANE. Will be intresting to see if it does move into the gulf like the NHC forcasts. Last edited by Jared Thompson; 11-05-2009 at 08:00 AM.

11-05-2009, 10:33 AM	#9
Larry J. Kosch Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Lincoln, NE Posts: 169 Thanks: 13 Thanked 1 Time in 1 Post	Land Fall Potential for Ida I did a bit of research since it looks like IDA will be potentially making two landfalls on the storm track, projected by the National Hurricane Center. It's currently making landfall in Nicaragua with 75 mph winds. It is forecasted to track out to sea as a TS, then nick the tip of Hondoruas as it passes into the Gulf of Mexico. I tend to agree with the other posts that it may not upgrade back to hurricane status due to the cooler Gulf waters. The current jet stream setup for the SE US looks like the TS or whatever remains will get pushed toward Florida. My research also indicated that Hurricane Faye holds the record for four landfalls in the state of Florida in 2008! __________________ Larry J. Kosch Joined Stormtrack in 2004, Rejoined in 2009

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode