Stormtrack   1
Want to place an ad?


Go Back   Stormtrack > Weather > Tropical weather and hurricanes

Tropical weather and hurricanes All types of discussion about warm-core weather systems are welcome here. Target Area rules do not apply.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes


Old 11-25-2009, 07:01 AM   #1
Helge Tuschy
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Innsbruck,Austria
Posts: 39
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default Super typhoon Nida

Hi,

despite the fact that latest JTWC warning rates this storms as a strong 125kt typhoon, Nida is now clearly a super typhoon and probably one of the strongest systems ever observed. Dvorak classification now up to 7.5 with temporarily (not adjusted) values up to 8.0!
It looks like that the next update could rate Nida as a 155kt storm with a pressure somewhere down to 880hPa or below (latest ratings show values of 874-879hPa). A values of 878hPa or below would be needed for a top-ten rating, but let's see what the official rating will be later-on. I think the limited appearance (pattern) was one reason for somewhat lower numbers, but otherwise this system has a perfect appearance with a min/max pixel difference of well above 100°C at the center and adjacent areas.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/GUAMC.JPG

Cheers, Helge
Helge Tuschy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-25-2009, 08:27 AM   #2
Jim Edds
Member
 
Jim Edds's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 54
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default

latest JTWC has SuperTyphoon Nida at 150 knots or 173 mph sustained 1 min. average with a forecast peak at 155 knots. JTWC was way behind the satellite techniques which were giving 150 kt+ 12 hours ago.

Nida is traversing between Guam and Yap. The southern road here near Merizo, Guam was underwater late this afternoon. (We are 14 hours ahead of Eastern time zone.) Waves were huge along the SE Coast of Guam today. I went from dry to knee deep water in a matter of seconds but my cam was on a tripod so it's ok. Should be some big waves early tomorrow on the west side of Guam.
__________________
______________________________
Jim Edds KI4OVD
www.ExtremeStorms.com
Jim Edds is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-25-2009, 08:36 AM   #3
James Reynolds
Member
 
James Reynolds's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 38
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default !

Quote:
Originally Posted by Helge Tuschy View Post
Hi,

despite the fact that latest JTWC warning rates this storms as a strong 125kt typhoon, Nida is now clearly a super typhoon and probably one of the strongest systems ever observed. Dvorak classification now up to 7.5 with temporarily (not adjusted) values up to 8.0!
It looks like that the next update could rate Nida as a 155kt storm with a pressure somewhere down to 880hPa or below (latest ratings show values of 874-879hPa). A values of 878hPa or below would be needed for a top-ten rating, but let's see what the official rating will be later-on. I think the limited appearance (pattern) was one reason for somewhat lower numbers, but otherwise this system has a perfect appearance with a min/max pixel difference of well above 100°C at the center and adjacent areas.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/GUAMC.JPG

Cheers, Helge
JMA, the official RSMC out here in Wpac currently have Nida at 115kts (10 min) with central pressure of 905hPa which is equal to TY Jangmi last year.

Nida is one hell of a storm. Be wary of using the pressures displayed by NRL, they are automatically generated and often way off.
__________________
Intercepting typhoons...

www.typhoonfury.com

Last edited by James Reynolds; 11-25-2009 at 08:37 AM. Reason: quote
James Reynolds is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-25-2009, 09:24 AM   #4
Jim Edds
Member
 
Jim Edds's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 54
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default

some video of the wave action here on the SE side of Guam 12 hours ago:
http://www.extremestorms.com/SuperTy...ida_Guam_1.mp4

Wide shot of the SE side of Guam
__________________
______________________________
Jim Edds KI4OVD
www.ExtremeStorms.com
Jim Edds is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-25-2009, 03:54 PM   #5
Helge Tuschy
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Innsbruck,Austria
Posts: 39
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default

Hi,

JTWC now has a 160kt super typhoon (gusts up to 195 kt) . Pressure is kept above 900 hPa (offical one), which is a bit strange for me. DT now near 7.8 with estimated pressure below 870 hPa (the magic line ). However I don't get the point why to stick with a 900 + hPa despite the necessary adjustment. Otherwise this remains an impressive storm in all available remote sensing data!

Cheers, Helge
Helge Tuschy is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-26-2009, 03:47 AM   #6
Jim Edds
Member
 
Jim Edds's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 54
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by James Reynolds View Post
JMA, the official RSMC out here in Wpac currently have Nida at 115kts (10 min) with central pressure of 905hPa which is equal to TY Jangmi last year.

Nida is one hell of a storm. Be wary of using the pressures displayed by NRL, they are automatically generated and often way off.
I wonder what Fujita would of thought of the 10 min. wind average for a tornado???
__________________
______________________________
Jim Edds KI4OVD
www.ExtremeStorms.com
Jim Edds is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-27-2009, 07:54 AM   #7
cdcollura
Member
 
cdcollura's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Sunrise, Florida
Posts: 1,068
Thanks: 7
Thanked 47 Times in 24 Posts
Default

Good day all,

WPAC is kicking AZN butt this year!

Too bad it's all 99.9% "water" out there...
__________________
Christopher Collura - KG4PJN
Sky-Chaser Storm Journalism
Quote: "If it has a core, I'll punch it!"
cdcollura is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-27-2009, 10:06 AM   #8
richhorodner
Member
 
richhorodner's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Vero Beach, Florida
Posts: 415
Thanks: 2
Thanked 10 Times in 8 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcollura View Post
Good day all,

WPAC is kicking AZN butt this year!

Too bad it's all 99.9% "water" out there...
Horseshoes, hand grenades, and island tropical cyclone chasing.
richhorodner is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-28-2009, 01:22 AM   #9
James Reynolds
Member
 
James Reynolds's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 38
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cdcollura View Post
Good day all,

WPAC is kicking AZN butt this year!

Too bad it's all 99.9% "water" out there...
Sure is a lot of water spawning up some real monsters.

There have been 22 storms this year, of which 16 made landfall, or passed close enough to populated areas to make their presence felt. The average number of named storms by now is 25 so it's actually quite a quiet year at the moment!
__________________
Intercepting typhoons...

www.typhoonfury.com

Last edited by James Reynolds; 11-28-2009 at 02:47 AM.
James Reynolds is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 11-28-2009, 08:40 AM   #10
Jim Edds
Member
 
Jim Edds's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 54
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Default

Day 4 of Supertyphoon Nida. The Northwest Pacific rocks all the way to January.
__________________
______________________________
Jim Edds KI4OVD
www.ExtremeStorms.com
Jim Edds is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:04 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2010, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2010 Stormtrack