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This looks like it might be the best chase day of the year so far (of course this is still 6 days out). GFS has an impressive moisture field and LLJ of 50-60kts. |
Ok, I am going to try do some analysis on what appears to be a strong system moving through the Missouri Valley on Monday, May 20. I'm going to keep this in the introductory forum and just mimic the target area format because I'm a noob at this...so any additional thoughts on this forecast are very welcome, as well as any tips or feedback on other things to analyze for this! |
A mini-supercell dropped a weak EF-0 tornado that left two damage tracks in Limestone County of north Alabama today. Watching the storm on NEXRAD reflectivity from KHTX revealed a blob with a slight bulge on the SW corner, but WAFF-TV's Doppler, which was much closer to the storm, returned reflectivity signatures that looked like a much more impressive tornado: |
With the GFS continuing its trend of slowing down the storm system Sunday is a day that is looking better and better after each model run. |
Ended up on the Clay/Wise county monster. Had a late start so we didn't intercept until it was north of Decatur on HWY 51. We witnessed a large cone emerge from the rain and nearly gobble us up. Also witnessed a multi-vortex a little further north on 51 with an insane amount of powerflashes under it. This tornado had some of the most crazy motion I've ever seen. I promise to post pics very soon, probably tomorrow. All in all a great backyard chase on a super marginal day. |
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